Saturday, December 6, 2008
caleg-dpr-dapil-jaba
Thursday, December 4, 2008
Link Presiden Amerika
Ampuhnya kekuatan Internet, untuk kemenangan Obama
KOMPAS
Kamis, 6 September 2008
Barack Obama
sumber: http://adhikusumaputra.blogspot.com/
Salah satu kekuatan Barack Obama (47) adalah memanfaatkan internet untuk menjaring pendukung dalam kampanye-kampanyenya dan mengumpulkan dana secara ”online”. Barack Obama memiliki situs-situs jejaring sosial yang populer tidak hanya di Amerika Serikat, tetapi juga di banyak negara di dunia, mulai dari Facebook, My Space, Linkedin, You Tube, Friendster, hingga [...]
Transkrip Pidato Kemenangan Obama dari CNN
Transkrip Pidato Kemenangan Obama dari CNN (Obama’s Winning Speech)
Hello, Chicago.
If there is anyone out there who still doubts that America is a place where all things are possible, who still wonders if the dream of our founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer.
It’s the [...]
Sebelum menyampaikan pidato kemenangannya, Obama mengirim email kepada pendukungnya, baca emailnya:
Sebelum menyampaikan pidato kemenangannya, Obama mengucapkan terima kasih kepada pendukung dan supporternya diseluruh belahan dunia. Inilah email Obama yang diterima oleh pengelola Jendela Indonesia, beberapa saat menjelang penyampaian pidato kemenangannya sebagai presiden terpilih ke-44, kulit hitam pertama dan barangkali satu-satunya untuk 100 tahun ke-depan:
— On Wed, 11/5/08, Barack Obama
From: Barack Obama
Subject: How [...]
Di Amerika Warna Kulit Berperan
http://www.ranesi.nl/arsipaktua/amerika/as/Warna_kulit081017
Di Amerika Warna Kulit Berperan
Dalam Pemungutan Suara
Reinout van Wagtendonk
17-10-2008
Warna kulit Barack Obama merupakan faktor yang tidak menentu dalam persaingan merebut kursi presiden Amerika. Hanya sedikit yang berucap lantang soal rasial itu. Anggota Dewan Perwakilan dari partai Demokrat pernah mengatakan bahwa rasisme bakal menjadi penghalang bagi Obama di wilayah pemilihannya. Namun anggota kongres itu cepat-cepat meminta [...]
Obama Menang Pemilihan Pendahuluan Presiden AS
Data-data pada pemilihan pendahuluan memperlihatkan keunggulan Obama dibanding lawan politiknya McCain. Berdasarkan undang-undang pemilu AS, warga negara yang berhak memilih dapat melakukan pemilihan sebelum hari H, tanggal 4 November 2008. Kemenagan ini ditunjukkan dari tingkat partisipasi partai demokrat dan pemilih kulit hitam pada pemilihan pendahuluan ini. Hasil pastinya memang baru akan diketahui pada waktu [...]
Jika semua orang di dunia punya hak memilih presiden Amerika maka Obama menang telak
Jika Penduduk Dunia bisa memilih presiden Amerika maka Obama menang telak
Oleh: Syafedi Syafei, Ph.D
Jika penduduk dunia punya hak memilih presiden Amerika, maka Obama menang telak, lihat link ini
http://www.economist.com/vote2008/
Luar biasa, itulah ungkapan yang diucapkan atas popularitas populeritas Barrack Obama, Dari dukungan dan diskusi pada situs facebook.com pendukung Obama, dimana postingnya berjumlah
See all 476,560 wall post
pada hari [...]
Siapakah pemenang Pemilihan Presiden amerika Serikat
ANTARA :: Politik Rasis di Pemilu Amerika Serikat
Apakah seorang kulit hitam di Gedung Putih (garis bawahi kata Putih) akan … Jika Obama menang bulan depan dan masuk Gedung Putih, berarti diperlukan waktu …
Jika McCain menang tak lain hanya Karma Obama « Indonesia Feminist …
- [ Terjemahkan laman ini ]
10 Sep 2008 … Orang dengan [...]
Friday, November 28, 2008
Sebelum menyampaikan pidato kemenangannya, Obama mengirim email kepada pendukungnya, baca emailnya
Sebelum menyampaikan pidato kemenangannya, Obama mengucapkan terima kasih kepada pendukung dan supporternya diseluruh belahan dunia. Inilah email Obama yang diterima oleh pengelola Jendela Indonesia, beberapa saat menjelang penyampaian pidato kemenangannya sebagai presiden terpilih ke-44, kulit hitam pertama dan barangkali satu-satunya untuk 100 tahun ke-depan:
--- On Wed, 11/5/08, Barack Obama
From: Barack Obama
Subject: How this happened
To: syafsya2...@yahoo.com
Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2008, 2:26 AM
How this happened
Obama for America Friend --I'm about to head to Grant Park to talk to everyone gathered there, but I wanted to write to you first.
We just made history.
And I don't want you to forget how we did it.
You made history every single day during this campaign -- every day you knocked on doors, made a donation, or talked to your family, friends, and neighbors about why you believe it's time for change.
I want to thank all of you who gave your time, talent, and passion to this campaign.
We have a lot of work to do to get our country back on track, and I'll be in touch soon about what comes next.
But I want to be very clear about one thing...
All of this happened because of you.
Thank you,
Barack
Inilah Pidato kemenangan Obama, yang membuat Oprah menagis dan masyarakat dunia terharu
Transkrip Pidato Kemenangan Obama dari CNN (Obama’s Winning Speech)
Hello, Chicago.
If there is anyone out there who still doubts that America is a place where all things are possible, who still wonders if the dream of our founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer.
It’s the answer told by lines that stretched around schools and churches in numbers this nation has never seen, by people who waited three hours and four hours, many for the first time in their lives, because they believed that this time must be different, that their voices could be that difference.
It’s the answer spoken by young and old, rich and poor, Democrat and Republican, black, white, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, gay, straight, disabled and not disabled. Americans who sent a message to the world that we have never been just a collection of individuals or a collection of red states and blue states.
We are, and always will be, the United States of America.
It’s the answer that led those who’ve been told for so long by so many to be cynical and fearful and doubtful about what we can achieve to put their hands on the arc of history and bend it once more toward the hope of a better day.
It’s been a long time coming, but tonight, because of what we did on this date in this election at this defining moment change has come to America.
A little bit earlier this evening, I received an extraordinarily gracious call from Sen. McCain.
Sen. McCain fought long and hard in this campaign. And he’s fought even longer and harder for the country that he loves. He has endured sacrifices for America that most of us cannot begin to imagine. We are better off for the service rendered by this brave and selfless leader.
I congratulate him; I congratulate Gov. Palin for all that they’ve achieved. And I look forward to working with them to renew this nation’s promise in the months ahead.
I want to thank my partner in this journey, a man who campaigned from his heart, and spoke for the men and women he grew up with on the streets of Scranton and rode with on the train home to Delaware, the vice president-elect of the United States, Joe Biden.
And I would not be standing here tonight without the unyielding support of my best friend for the last 16 years the rock of our family, the love of my life, the nation’s next first lady Michelle Obama.
Sasha and Malia I love you both more than you can imagine. And you have earned the new puppy that’s coming with us to the new White House.
And while she’s no longer with us, I know my grandmother’s watching, along with the family that made me who I am. I miss them tonight. I know that my debt to them is beyond measure.
To my sister Maya, my sister Alma, all my other brothers and sisters, thank you so much for all the support that you’ve given me. I am grateful to them.
And to my campaign manager, David Plouffe, the unsung hero of this campaign, who built the best — the best political campaign, I think, in the history of the United States of America.
To my chief strategist David Axelrod who’s been a partner with me every step of the way.
To the best campaign team ever assembled in the history of politics you made this happen, and I am forever grateful for what you’ve sacrificed to get it done.
But above all, I will never forget who this victory truly belongs to. It belongs to you. It belongs to you.
I was never the likeliest candidate for this office. We didn’t start with much money or many endorsements. Our campaign was not hatched in the halls of Washington. It began in the backyards of Des Moines and the living rooms of Concord and the front porches of Charleston. It was built by working men and women who dug into what little savings they had to give $5 and $10 and $20 to the cause.
It grew strength from the young people who rejected the myth of their generation’s apathy who left their homes and their families for jobs that offered little pay and less sleep.
It drew strength from the not-so-young people who braved the bitter cold and scorching heat to knock on doors of perfect strangers, and from the millions of Americans who volunteered and organized and proved that more than two centuries later a government of the people, by the people, and for the people has not perished from the Earth.
This is your victory.
And I know you didn’t do this just to win an election. And I know you didn’t do it for me.
You did it because you understand the enormity of the task that lies ahead. For even as we celebrate tonight, we know the challenges that tomorrow will bring are the greatest of our lifetime — two wars, a planet in peril, the worst financial crisis in a century.
Even as we stand here tonight, we know there are brave Americans waking up in the deserts of Iraq and the mountains of Afghanistan to risk their lives for us.
There are mothers and fathers who will lie awake after the children fall asleep and wonder how they’ll make the mortgage or pay their doctors’ bills or save enough for their child’s college education.
There’s new energy to harness, new jobs to be created, new schools to build, and threats to meet, alliances to repair.
The road ahead will be long. Our climb will be steep. We may not get there in one year or even in one term. But, America, I have never been more hopeful than I am tonight that we will get there.
I promise you, we as a people will get there.
There will be setbacks and false starts. There are many who won’t agree with every decision or policy I make as president. And we know the government can’t solve every problem.
But I will always be honest with you about the challenges we face. I will listen to you, especially when we disagree. And, above all, I will ask you to join in the work of remaking this nation, the only way it’s been done in America for 221 years — block by block, brick by brick, calloused hand by calloused hand.
What began 21 months ago in the depths of winter cannot end on this autumn night.
This victory alone is not the change we seek. It is only the chance for us to make that change. And that cannot happen if we go back to the way things were.
It can’t happen without you, without a new spirit of service, a new spirit of sacrifice.
So let us summon a new spirit of patriotism, of responsibility, where each of us resolves to pitch in and work harder and look after not only ourselves but each other.
Let us remember that, if this financial crisis taught us anything, it’s that we cannot have a thriving Wall Street while Main Street suffers.
In this country, we rise or fall as one nation, as one people. Let’s resist the temptation to fall back on the same partisanship and pettiness and immaturity that has poisoned our politics for so long.
Let’s remember that it was a man from this state who first carried the banner of the Republican Party to the White House, a party founded on the values of self-reliance and individual liberty and national unity.
Those are values that we all share. And while the Democratic Party has won a great victory tonight, we do so with a measure of humility and determination to heal the divides that have held back our progress.
As Lincoln said to a nation far more divided than ours, we are not enemies but friends. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection.
And to those Americans whose support I have yet to earn, I may not have won your vote tonight, but I hear your voices. I need your help. And I will be your president, too.
And to all those watching tonight from beyond our shores, from parliaments and palaces, to those who are huddled around radios in the forgotten corners of the world, our stories are singular, but our destiny is shared, and a new dawn of American leadership is at hand.
To those — to those who would tear the world down: We will defeat you. To those who seek peace and security: We support you. And to all those who have wondered if America’s beacon still burns as bright: Tonight we proved once more that the true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals: democracy, liberty, opportunity and unyielding hope.
That’s the true genius of America: that America can change. Our union can be perfected. What we’ve already achieved gives us hope for what we can and must achieve tomorrow.
This election had many firsts and many stories that will be told for generations. But one that’s on my mind tonight’s about a woman who cast her ballot in Atlanta. She’s a lot like the millions of others who stood in line to make their voice heard in this election except for one thing: Ann Nixon Cooper is 106 years old.
She was born just a generation past slavery; a time when there were no cars on the road or planes in the sky; when someone like her couldn’t vote for two reasons — because she was a woman and because of the color of her skin.
And tonight, I think about all that she’s seen throughout her century in America — the heartache and the hope; the struggle and the progress; the times we were told that we can’t, and the people who pressed on with that American creed: Yes we can.
At a time when women’s voices were silenced and their hopes dismissed, she lived to see them stand up and speak out and reach for the ballot. Yes we can.
When there was despair in the dust bowl and depression across the land, she saw a nation conquer fear itself with a New Deal, new jobs, a new sense of common purpose. Yes we can.
When the bombs fell on our harbor and tyranny threatened the world, she was there to witness a generation rise to greatness and a democracy was saved. Yes we can.
She was there for the buses in Montgomery, the hoses in Birmingham, a bridge in Selma, and a preacher from Atlanta who told a people that “We Shall Overcome.” Yes we can.
A man touched down on the moon, a wall came down in Berlin, a world was connected by our own science and imagination.
And this year, in this election, she touched her finger to a screen, and cast her vote, because after 106 years in America, through the best of times and the darkest of hours, she knows how America can change.
Yes we can.
America, we have come so far. We have seen so much. But there is so much more to do. So tonight, let us ask ourselves — if our children should live to see the next century; if my daughters should be so lucky to live as long as Ann Nixon Cooper, what change will they see? What progress will we have made?
This is our chance to answer that call. This is our moment.
This is our time, to put our people back to work and open doors of opportunity for our kids; to restore prosperity and promote the cause of peace; to reclaim the American dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth, that, out of many, we are one; that while we breathe, we hope. And where we are met with cynicism and doubts and those who tell us that we can’t, we will respond with that timeless creed that sums up the spirit of a people: Yes, we can.
Thank you. God bless you. And may God bless the United States of America.
Ampuhnya kekuatan Internet, untuk kemenangan Obama
KOMPAS
Kamis, 6 September 2008
Barack Obama
sumber: http://adhikusumaputra.blogspot.com/
Salah satu kekuatan Barack Obama (47) adalah memanfaatkan internet untuk menjaring pendukung dalam kampanye-kampanyenya dan mengumpulkan dana secara ”online”. Barack Obama memiliki situs-situs jejaring sosial yang populer tidak hanya di Amerika Serikat, tetapi juga di banyak negara di dunia, mulai dari Facebook, My Space, Linkedin, You Tube, Friendster, hingga Twitter.
Obama, Senator Illinois ini, mampu mengalahkan Hillary Clinton, Senator New York, saat konvensi Partai Demokrat. Kini dia menang atas John McCain dari Partai Republik dalam pemilihan 4 November. Saat pertarungannya dengan Hillary, Obama mengantongi dana 38 juta dollar AS selama kampanye dan hanya berutang 2 juta dollar AS. Adapun Hillary hanya memperoleh 6 juta dollar AS dan utangnya untuk kampanye membengkak 21 juta dollar AS.
Mengapa? Padahal, Hillary memiliki nama besar dan popularitas. Obama memanfaatkan internet. Obama memperoleh sumbangan dana kampanye lewat online hanya 5 dollar AS per orang, tetapi disumbang oleh jutaan orang.
Hillary masih menggunakan pola lama berkampanye, termasuk mencari dana. Hillary melupakan faktor kunci dalam dunia baru politik di AS, yaitu jejaring sosial. Ibaratnya, Hillary masih menggunakan AOL, Obama sudah memanfaatkan jejaring sosial Facebook. Hillary masih PC, Obama sudah sebuah Mac.
Jejaring sosial.
Menguasai komunikasi publik memang salah satu kunci kemenangan. Franklin Delano Roosevelt menggunakan radio dan John F Kennedy memanfaatkan televisi untuk menggapai kemenangan. Kini Barack Obama menggunakan internet sebagai media sosial, menyapa masyarakat akar rumput melalui teknologi komunikasi yang berkembang amat pesat. Cek di Facebook, banyak ditemukan grup pendukung Obama.
Namun, Obama bukan politisi Amerika pertama yang memanfaatkan jejaring sosial untuk menuju kursi kepresidenan. Howard Dean menggunakan Meetup.com saat nominasi Partai Demokrat dalam pemilihan presiden tahun 2004. Dean saat ini berhasil mengumpulkan 27 juta dollar AS melalui online.
Pakar komunikasi Phil Noble, seperti dilansir BBC, menyebutkan, Obama meraih hampir satu miliar dollar AS selama kampanye tahun 2008. Jumlah ini 12 kali lebih banyak dibandingkan dengan perolehan John Kerry, yang juga memperoleh dana kampanye lewat cara yang sama tahun 2004.
Yang pasti, Obama dan tim suksesnya betul-betul memanfaatkan internet sebagai alat menuju kemenangan. Hal ini tidaklah heran karena di AS sebesar 71,9 persen atau 218,3 juta dari 303,8 juta penduduknya menggunakan internet (catatan InternetWorldStats hingga November 2007). Bahkan, internet telah menjadi bagian utama kehidupan politik Amerika.
Sampai akhir Oktober lalu, Obama memiliki lebih dari 1,7 juta sahabat di Facebook, beberapa di antaranya warga negara Indonesia, dan 510.000 teman di MySpace. Sebaliknya, McCain punya 309.000 teman di Facebook dan 88.000 di MySpace. Mengapa jumlah sahabat McCain di jejaring sosial lebih sedikit, ini bisa jadi karena faktor usia. McCain yang berusia 72 tahun kurang diminati penggemar Facebook dan MySpace yang sebagian besar kaum muda.
Di jejaring sosial Twitter, Obama memiliki lebih dari 45.000 pengikut. Semua aktivitasnya diinformasikan melalui jejaring sosial tersebut langsung kepada sahabat-sahabatnya. Jutaan orang di dunia, tidak hanya di Amerika, dapat menyaksikan pidato Obama melalui You Tube. Obama juga memiliki blog pribadi, mengajak pendukungnya berperan serta dalam pengumpulan dana melalui online.
Tidak seperti pesaingnya, McCain, Obama menulis surat elektronik (e-mail) pribadinya dan menciptakan video-video eksklusif untuk pendukung online-nya.
Yang juga menarik, video musik Yes We Can yang ditayangkan di You Tube, dengan bintang tamu antara lain Jesse Dylan, Will.i.am, Common, Scarlett Johansson, Tatyana Ali, John Legend, Herbie Hancock, Kate Walsh, Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Adam Rodriguez, Kelly Hu, Amber Valetta, Eric Balfour, Aisha Tyler, Nicole Scherzinger, dan Nick Cannon, dalam dua hari setelah dirilis diklik 698.934 kali.
Phil Noble menyebutkan, dua juta pendukung Obama bertindak sebagai sukarelawan selama masa kampanye, itu kunci penting kemenangan bersejarah ini. Profesor Thomas Patterson dari Universitas Harvard, Inggris, memperkirakan, popularitas Obama dalam jejaring sosial menarik para pemilih muda dan kalangan terdidik Amerika.
Obama dan tim suksesnya telah mengubah cara politisi menarik publik Amerika, termasuk mengumpulkan dana kampanye melalui online. Obama telah memindahkan politik kepresidenan masuk ke abad digital. (Robert Adhi KSP)
Indonesia siap mejadi 20 negara terkaya didunia
Indonesia tetap optimis, akan dapat mengatasi krisis ekonomi global yang episentrumnya terdapat di negara adidaya Amerika. Ibarat tsunami dengan episentrum di Amerika, gelombangnya akan berdampak ke negara-negara lain. Beberapa perusahaan hancur dan bangkrut, sebagian merumahkan karyawannnya. Di Amerika, perusahaan-perusahaan dimulai dengan Bear Stern (Prime Morgage), Fanny Mae, Freddy Mac dibidang pembiayaan properti. Berikutnya merambah ke bidang asuransi AIG, dan Lehman Brothers, dan akhirnya ke sektor real yaitu perusahaan GM (General Motor). Kekayaan GM kini merosot hampir sama dengan kekayaan tahun 1926. Kini kekayaannya jauh dibawah Toyota, yang hanya sekitar 1/40 toyota. Kini, GM memasang iklan di internet, memohon dukungan publik agar meng-goal-kan sidang senat agar pemerintah US membantu mereka.
Indonesia juga ikut kena gelombangnya, perusahaan group Bakri Brothesrs yang beberapa bulan yang lalu dijerumuskan oleh Forbes sebagai orang terkaya di Indonesia, sekarang dihancurkan oleh Kirisis ekonomi global, sehingga saham-sahamnya (elty, bnbr, btel, enrg, dan yang paling parah Bumi) dijual kayak kacang goreng. Yang mau jual banyak, yang mau beli nggak ada. Setiap hari Jatuh sebesar 10%, tergantung batas terendah turun per hari yang ditetapkan Bapepam.
Tetapi kami, dan juga penulis tulisan dibawah ini (Terry Lacey) tetap optimis, Karena sektor real di Indonesia, tidak terkena dampak terlalu berat. Dengan akan adanya PEMILU 2009, akan banyak uang beredar di masyarakat, kenaikan gaji PNS, terutama guru dan dosen juga akan memberi dampak positip. Tetapi, karena menjelang PEMILU mulai banyak muncul isu-isu negatif, masalah kartun nabi Muhammad, mengidentikkan kata muslim = teroris, dll. Target mereka barangkali membuat chaos indonesia, dan menjatuhkan pemimpin sekarang sebelum PEMILU, sehingga pemimpin yang akan datang dapat mereka atur dan arahkan. Jadi generasi muda harus lebih hati-hati, masih banyak pihak (juga negara lain) tidak menghendaki Indonesia maju. Baca artikel berikut:
http://www.dailysta r.com.lb/ article.asp?
edition_id=1& categ_id= 2&article_ id=97616
Indonesia - why there is no recession in the world's leading Muslim
economy
By Terry Lacey
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Report by Terry Lacey
Following the election of US President-elect Barack Obama there is
likely to be a slow recovery in confidence in the United States
financial and banking system. A recession is unavoidable in the US
and EU, but with only a downturn in developing countries. This crisis
of confidence in the Western banking and financial system comes
during the dying days of the most unpopular American presidency in
living memory. Financial mismanagement and weak regulatory frameworks
have devastated the US economy, making the rich richer and the poor
poorer. Two million Americans may lose their homes. Millions in the
US and Europe will lose their jobs.
Yet the devastating legacy of the Bush presidency leaves open great
opportunities for Indonesia, the Muslim world and the developing
countries of the South.
Indonesia can play a key role in leading the Muslim world toward
economic recovery, and help minimize the impact of global recession.
First, by managing its national economy to maintain growth, demand,
imports and exports. The nominal Gross Domestic Product for 2009 is
projected at $547 billion. Indonesia is already in the top 20
economies of the world.
Indonesia is currently overtaking Belgium and Sweden. It will soon
overtake Turkey, the Netherlands and Austria as it enormous size,
resources and population come into play. It is a strong candidate to
join the top 10 economies in the world within two decades.
Second, by mobilizing investment for oil, gas, energy projects,
biofuels, infrastructure (roads, railways, ports), manufacturing and
retailing sectors. It needs over $40 billion for electricity alone,
to finance an additional 40,000 MWe of power by 2025. Indonesia will
become a nuclear power, and plans four power stations. Total foreign
investment needed overall during the next 15 years exceeds $100
billion.
Investment is still coming from the US and EU (including Eastern
Europe) but increasingly from the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and
China), and also from Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation countries
like Canada, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and from Association of Southeast
Asian Nations member states (including Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand). Investment is also coming in greater volume
from the Gulf Arab states, Israel and South Africa.
Third, Indonesia can help lead Muslim economies by using its economic
size and prestige as a member of the United Nations Security Council
to join Brazil, Russia, India, China and Southern countries to bring
about changes in policies and in the balance of power in world
organizations dealing with trade, finance and development, especially
the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Trade
Organization (WTO).
Indonesia has major reservations about the IMF following its own
experience in 1998. German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck said
that the world should not slip into creating a shadow world economic
government run by an inner IMF council. Indonesia is also tired of
being kept on the fringes in the WTO.
Asia and Southern countries want a new deal. Muslim countries
collectively represent an increasingly important source of capital,
while Western liquidity has partly dried up. Muslim economies
represent important investment sources as well as investment
destinations. The collective size of Muslim economies represents
significant demand for Western goods and services, relatively
unaffected by the recession in the West.
Indonesia can still deploy export credits, sovereign funds, Islamic
finance and other non-traditional financial sources, such as
environmental funds and carbon credits. Despite the global downturn
Indonesia is still pulling in some bank finance.
A $140 million syndicated loan for Excelcomindo for
telecommunications expansion was announced recently. Low-cost
airline Lion Air is buying 12 Boeing 737 planes even though the
required local cash contribution for the last four has risen to 30
percent. Lion Air will use its own cash to carry on expanding. St.
Miguel Corp. of the Philippines is competing with a US-led consortium
to clinch a $1.3 billion coal supply deal, to buy PT Bumi Resources
from Bakri Brothers. There is money here and money coming in.
Standard and Poors is holding Indonesian credit ratings stable and
its credit rating may even be raised. Singapore could slip into
recession but Indonesia will not, and the reason is mostly sheer size
plus improved financial and economic management.
Indonesia is in a key position as the largest Muslim country in the
world with a population of 230 million and a land area of 1.9 million
square kilometers.
The Indonesian Gross Domestic Product was $843.7 billion in terms of
purchasing power and $432.9 billion in terms of official exchange
rates in 2007. It has fixed foreign investment of $57.6 billion and
holds $9 billion of investment in other countries. It has more than
3,500 millionaires holding over $100 million each, of whom 70 percent
live in Jakarta.
Its current economic growth is 6.5 percent and may fall below 6
percent in 2009 due to reduced exports. Government will stimulate
growth using the national budget which already reached $100 billion
in 2008. Government is confident it can hold growth at 6 percent. The
World Bank has set aside a $2 billion standby loan for 2009 only to
be triggered if growth falls below 5.8 percent.
In 2007 Indonesian exports were $118 billion and imports $86 billion,
a trade surplus of $32 billion, and foreign exchange reserves as of
this month were $50 billion.
Indonesia has already lost some jobs in sectors like textiles. Some
exports to the US and Europe fell in the fourth quarter. The stock
market, government bonds and the national currency also fell in value
during the global financial crash in the first week of October.
The government launched a securities buy-back program spearheaded by
state-owned enterprises and defended the rupiah currency by
intervening in the currency market via the Bank of Indonesia. The
government also took steps to increase liquidity and focused on
getting inflation under control and on maintaining growth.
The government has increased guarantees on personal deposits to 2
billion rupiahs ($190,000), which covers 100 percent of deposits for
over 99.7 percent of 81 million bank accounts.
Indonesian banks are strong, with adequate reserves, low non-
performing loans and almost no exposure to subprime losses. Only a
small group of investors lost money on Lehman-related instruments
purchased via international banks.
The Indonesian inflation rate is declining from a high of 12 percent
to maybe 9 percent by January with reductions planned to between 9
percent and 7 percent for the rest of 2009. The bank rate is being
stabilized at 9.5 percent after six months of consecutive rises. It
will be held for a while and then reduced to 7.5 percent in 2009.
Indonesian bonds are recovering from their recent nose-dive and the
stock market is stabilizing. Local economists say the stock market
was over-valued and more normal values and returns will be restored
as part of the local share trading cycle.
The government is now focusing on trying to mobilize its massive $115
billion dollar national budget for 2009, up from $100 billion in
2008, to push projects and overall spending forward and help
substitute local demand for declines in exports, with every hope of
keeping economic growth for 2009 at between 5.5 and 6.0 percent.
Despite the collapse of the Bank of Indonesia subsidiary Indover Bank
in the Netherlands, there is no sovereign default. Indonesian Finance
Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati and the new central bank governor,
Boediono, have taken a stand against previous mismanagement.
In contrast to the kid-glove treatment of failed bankers and
financial managers in the West, who took imprudent and possibly
illegal risks, the Indonesian government is directing the work of its
Corruption Eradication Commission and Corruption Court against
corrupt central bankers and parliamentarians who took bribes.
The Indonesian government also says it will pursue legally those who
misused its name and dragged it into the Indover collapse, by
implying there were sovereign guarantees backing Indover borrowing
when there were none. It also intends to pursue allegations of short
trading and fraudulent practices in the stock exchange.
Indonesia lost 10 years as a result of the 1998 banking crash when it
put its fate in the hands of the IMF, which initially failed to
understand local strengths and exaggerated local weaknesses. An
historical photo shows President Suharto sitting at his desk, signing
his own political death-warrant while the IMF representative stood
over him, as he signed the IMF agreement.
A lot has changed between the Asian banking crash of 1998 and the
Wall Street crash of 2008. The economic balance of power in the world
has changed and the balance of global power has shifted to the South
and East. British Prime Minister Gordon Brown recognized this when he
urged the Gulf states and the G20 to help stabilize the world
economy.
In the 1998 bank crash Indonesia had no freedom and no choice. This
time in 2008 Indonesia has freedom and is stronger, and can chose to
tread its own path. Hopefully its greater strength and determination
will inspire Muslim and Southern countries not to panic in the face
of recession in the West, but to work together to avoid the spread of
recession to the South and to build and strengthen a new world
economic order.
Terry Lacey is a development economist who writes from Jakarta,
Indonesia, on modernization in the Muslim world, investment and trade
relations with the European Union and Islamic banking. This article
is published with permission from the author.
Sukses Story: Nanda Marwali Ph.D bekerja di USA mempunyai 3 paten UPS (Uninterupt Power Suply)
Sukses Story: Nanda Marwali Ph.D bekerja di USA mempunyai 3 paten UPS (Uninterupt Power Suply)
Kira-kira seminggu yang lalu, saya ketemu teman-teman yang pernah saya sebut namanya pada mailing list ini, teman alumni di IIT Chicago yaitu sdr Jakob (Jack) Purwono, Dirjen Listrik Dep. ESDM dan Sdr. M. Cita Marwali, bekerja di ABB sebelumnya di Silicon Valley, California, kini di ABB New York (dia eks BPPT). Kami berempat dengan teman lain Tunggul Birowo (MSc dari MIT, kemudian melanjutkan ke IIT), bekerja di perusahaan energi di Indonesia.
Kami bertemu di Mr. Bean, Citos. Banyak hal yang dibicarakan, termasuk masalah energi, PLN yang mandul karena tidak kompetitif dan monopoli (karena UU ttg PLN), dll. Dari Pembicaraan, suatu atmosfir yang dapat saya rasakan adanya keinginan kawan-kawan tersebut berkontribusi menghadapi masalah energi Indonesia. sdr. Cita, yang umurnya relatif masih sangat muda saat ini dapat dikatakan secara financial sudah mapan, gaji (dia dan istrinya) mencapai $500.000/tahun, tetapi masih menginginkan untuk kembali ke Indonesia, bekerja di pemerintahan dan berkontribusi untuk negara.
Tetapi melihat kultur Indonesia dimana faktor network (partai, klik, inner circle) lebih penting dari kompetensi seseorang, maka sangat sulit baginya untuk berperan misalnya di PLN. Hal ini sangat berbeda dengan support China terhadap peraih penghargaan solar cell tahun ini (asal china, tetapi warga negara Australia) yang pernah saya tulis pada mailing list ini. Karena support China dengan modal dan fasilitas, dia menjadi satu diantara yang terkaya di dunia versi Forbes. Perusahan-nya saat ini listing di New York Stock Exchange dengan simbol LDK. Peristiwa, seperti dipanggilnya Habibie dari Jerman oleh Soeharto sepertinya sangat sulit kembali terjadi di Indonesia.
Selain Sdr.Cita Marwali, dua orang adiknya juga bekerja di USA. Satu orang Dokter ahli bernama Muhammad Reza Marwali, satu lagi Nanda Marwali seperti kakak-nya Cita Marwali memperoleh Ph.D di bidang Electro. Sdr. Nanda Marwali saat ini mempunyai penemuan yang digunakan pada UPS (Uninterupt Power Supply).Ada 3 nomor patent atas namanya yang terdaftar pada kantor patent USA. Anak-anak Pak Marwali Harahap, ahli penyakit kulit di USU Medan dan ibu Sarjana Farmasi, asal Padang adalah contoh sukses warga Negara Indonesia yang bekerja di USA.
Syafedi Syafei, Ph.D
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